Jakarta: Finance Minister Sri Mulyani Indrawati estimates that this year's economic growth will still be around 3.7 percent to 4.5 percent. However, to achieve the economic growth target, there are prerequisites that must be met.
"With a record that in the third quarter, especially the third month of September, we will still be able to recover again and in the fourth quarter we can also grow to be more normal," she said in a meeting with Commission XI of the DPR, Monday, August 30, 2021.
Mulyani added that household consumption is predicted to grow between 2.2 percent and 2.8 percent this year. With a fairly high spike in the second quarter due to Eid, but in the third quarter PPKM (movement restriction) was depressed and is expected to return in the fourth quarter.
"In the third quarter, we will be subject to PPKM and in the fourth quarter, when Christmas and New Year are usually quite seasonal again. However, if Covid does not threaten us, we can get full capitalizing or take advantage of the momentum in the fourth quarter," she added.
Meanwhile, investments that have improved will try to be maintained until the end of the year. Even so, Sri Mulyani reminded that investment growth depends on the operations of various production sectors which are maintained.
Then in terms of national exports have also experienced a pretty good improvement. He said the various structural reforms carried out by the government were expected to support investment and export growth in 2021.
"From the industrial side, we see manufacturing, trade are two sectors that are extremely important, apart from agriculture. Agriculture is very season driven, so in this case because of us during this covid the rain has been evenly distributed for almost 18 months, so it is good enough to maintain agriculture us," she said.
"However, industry and trade are greatly affected by covid-19. Moreover, the service sector such as transportation, then other sectors. So this is what we must continue to maintain, that Covid can indeed continue to be reflected in our demand and supply activities," the former World Bank Managing Director continued.